List of Betting Strategies Betting Strategies >>> Betting Psychology >>> Educational Articles >>> Betting Strategies Betting for a career: Never have a number What if I started over? Middling: What’s the point worth? Adverse selection: What to consider before placing a bet Using the closing line to test your skill in betting What can sports bettors learn from economic bubbles? Using push and pull spots in betting Should you stop thinking about bankroll management? A comparison of level and percentage staking The power of “if-then” in betting Beating the market: Is it possible to be a profitable bettor? Betting odds explained: How to calculate odds How handicapping into buckets can help with betting The hot hand just got hotter The Pareto Principle applied to betting What is the Fibonacci betting system? Using the Monte Carlo method to analyse your betting history Understanding and managing your risks of ruin Using bookmaker margins to spot influential line moves Bankroll management: Odds, edge and variance Home field advantage analysed What can closing odds tell us about profit expectation? Does intuition have a place in sports betting? Revisiting the Kelly Criterion Part 2: Fractional Kelly Revisiting the Kelly Criterion Part 1: A risk assessment Exploiting the hot hand fallacy in a soccer betting market Applying opportunity cost to sports betting How often do professional bettors get paid? Part two: Is there a magical betting formula? How to calculate Expected Value What are the most common mistakes sports bettors make? Part one: Is there a magical betting formula? How to choose a staking method based on your betting profile How to bet on newly promoted teams All you need to know to beat the bookies How to test the credibility of a tipster’s record Why information is more valuable than soccer betting tips What is survivorship bias? The search for truth: Signal vs. noise The law of small numbers in sports betting The ultimate guide to evaluating betting tipsters Arbitrage betting explained Staking: One method to improve your betting How Pinnacle’s API can improve your betting Betting exchanges explained The role of utility in profitable betting How to beat the bookies in the Over/Under market Why do bookmakers close or limit betting accounts A guide to hedging outright markets in sports betting How to calculate margins on soccer betting odds Understanding the significance of market movement The need for a Bayesian approach in betting How to use Kelly Criterion for betting Soccer handicap betting explained Why free bets are not free Why are betting tipsters underperforming The ultimate guide on backing outsiders How bookmakers make money: an inside look in the trading room The importance of evaluating your performance against the closing line Understanding bet types in tennis Leicester’s success story: Skill or luck? Applying Elo ratings to soccer betting Past performance is not an indicator of future results Randomness in sports betting The most jaw-dropping statistic every bettor should know The pitfalls of Martingale money management strategy What is the Labouchere betting system Using quantitative methods to examine effects of small sample Using Pythagorean expectation for soccer betting Using ‘R’ for betting analysis What do betting odds represent Using Chi-Square to make more informed betting decisions How to spot errors and inaccuracies in prediction models How do I calculate betting margins How does luck influence short term betting How to build a betting model Using Standard Deviation to compare scoring patterns Using standard deviation to measure betting probabilities An example of how to build a betting model Sports betting profitability and the affect of margins Mean, mode and median crucial concepts for betting A powerful tool to beat the betting market Using a Monte Carlo model to predict sports How to calculate Draw No Bet from 1X2 odds What home set-up is best for in-play betting Why use 1X2 market to place bets as Double Chance Bayesian analysis and sports betting Alternative to laying on Exchanges How to calculate commission-free odds Measuring Expected Value The Pareto Principle of Prediction Is the Fibonacci betting system profitable Advanced betting types explained How to get an edge in betting How weather influences betting How do free bets work How to select a betting tipster using survivorship bias Calculating Expected Value for sports betting Basic bet types explained Explaining how bookmakers work with a coin 1X2 to Handicap odds conversion Betting Psychology Walking back betting markets The hindsight bias effect in sports betting Why patience is an essential trait for any serious bettor Betting psychology: A crash course for aspiring professional bettors Why do we gamble? Irrationality and overconfidence Applying behavioural economics in sports betting The Gambler’s Fallacy & law of large numbers Optimism bias in betting Are winning streaks in sports betting real? Predictive skills – Are you a Fox or Hedgehog? Wisdom of the Crowds applied to betting: can it effect a sports betting prediction? The difference between sports and sports betting How confirmation bias affects your betting Why players perform better when they’re losing Are winning streaks caused by great skill or good luck? Understanding the Halo Effect The dangers of weighting probability from intuition Guarding against the dangers of superstition The Monty Hall Problem: knowing when the odds are against you Why bettors should understand heuristics Educational Articles Why is Pinnacle arbitrage friendly? Are you serious about betting? Why you need to look at betting market data in more detail The maths and psychology of free bets Who is responsible for the favourite-longshot bias? Flip a house, make a bet: Real estate vs. betting Sports betting explained: How to bet on sports How to model your range of possible betting returns Revisiting randomness in betting Cash Out betting: What should bettors know about Cash Out? Do you know how difficult betting is? How to solve a problem like efficiency: Part two How to solve a problem like efficiency: Part one What are drawdowns and how do you manage them? Why it’s important to think about the future of betting Why bettors need to learn how to lose Good and back luck: The thin line of expectation Fractional odds vs. Decimal odds A case study: Why aren’t bettors allowed to win? Who offers better value: A bookmaker or betting exchange? How much is a free bet really worth? What is a value bet? The art of multiple betting The value of asymmetric information in sports betting The basics of reverse line movement How quickly can you learn a skill? The problem with data mining in sports betting The nature of uncertainty in betting What can you learn about betting in the classroom? How often do you need to beat the closing line? The difference in handicap betting in different sports Assessing betting skill: Bayesian vs. Frequentist methods Visualising a bet: What does a betting edge look like? The pitfalls of sports betting systems: Correlation vs. Causation Becoming a profitable bettor: A question of luck or skill How to make predictions with no data Is R the betting analysis tool of the future? Soccermatics: Mathematical modelling applied to soccer Arbitrage vs. Value Betting – Exposing misconceptions 4 betting lessons from Sir Alex Ferguson Surviving in the shark tank Inside a sports hedge fund The history of lotteries The effect of the tournament format on the odds How to calculate profits with different odds formats An inside look into where the majority of bets are placed How do betting odds work Profitable betting: From chance to choice How to convert between Decimal & American odds Three careers ideally suited for betting
